Centre for Population Projections

The Centre for Population produces population projections to inform policy makers and the public about Australia’s future growth. They aim to take account of the latest available demographic information and include adjustments to account for the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic.

The Centre produces population projections at the national, state and territory, and capital city and balance of state (using the Australian Bureau of Statistics’ Greater Capital City Statistical Area definitions) levels. The population projections at the capital city and balance of state level are currently updated annually, while the national and state and territory projections may be updated more frequently.

You can find here the Centre’s most recently completed population projections for each level of geography, as well as links to older projections. For further information about the method and underlying assumptions used in each set of projections please see the relevant publication.

Latest projections

National projections

National projections, 2020-21 to 2031-32

  • National population projections, including upside and downside net overseas migration scenarios detailed in the 2021 Population Statement. Includes population level, components of population growth, mortality and fertility assumptions and visa migration projections.
  • Last updated: 20 December 2021

Population Statement Data Download - National XLSX 183 kB

Previous projections

Budget 2021-22 population projections, Australia, 2020-21 to 2030-31

  • National population projections for the 2021-22 Budget, includes population level and components of population growth out to 2030-31 for Australia.
  • Budget 2021-22
  • Last updated: 11 May 2021

budget_2021-22_national.xlsx XLSX 173 kB

Intergenerational report population projections, 2020-21 to 2060-61

  • National population projections for the 2021 Intergenerational Report, includes the estimated resident population for the age groups of 0-14, 15-64, 65-84 and 85 and over.
  • 2021 Intergenerational Report
  • Last updated: 28 June 2021

IGR_2021.xlsx XLSX 174 kB

Population Statement 2020 projections, 2019-20 to 2030-31

  • National population projections for the central, pre-covid-19 and extended restrictions projection scenarios detailed in the 2020 Population Statement. Includes population level, components of population growth, mortality and fertility assumptions and visa migration projections.
  • 2020 Population Statement
  • Last updated: 4 December 2020

National population and components, 2019-20 to 2030-31 XLSX 184 kB

State and territory projections

State and territory projections, 2020-21 to 2031-32

  • State and territory population projections for the 2021 Population Statement. Includes population level and components of population growth.
  • Last updated: 20 December 2021

Population Statement Data Download - State and Territory XLSX 182 kB

Previous projections

Budget 2021-22 population projections, states and territories, 2020-21 to 2024-25

  • State and territory population projections for the 2021-22 Budget, includes population level and components of population growth out to 2024-25.
  • Budget 2021-22
  • Last updated: 11 May 2021

budget_2021-22_state_and_territory.xlsx XLSX 177 kB

Population Statement 2020 state and territory population projections, 2019-20 to 2030-31

  • State and Territory population projections for the central and pre-covid-19 projection scenarios detailed in the 2020 Population Statement. Includes population level and components of population growth.
  • 2020 Population Statement
  • Last updated: 4 December 2020

State and territory population and components, 2019-20 to 2030-31 XLSX 192 kB

Capital city and rest-of-state population projections

Capital city and rest-of-state projections, 2020-21 to 2031-32

  • Capital city and rest-of-state population projections for the 2021 Population Statement. Includes population level and components of population growth.
  • Last updated: 20 December 2021

Population Statement Data Download - GCCSA XLSX 189 kB

Previous projections

Population Statement 2020 capital city and balance of state (GCCSA) population projections, 2019-20 to 2030-31

  • GCCSA population projections for the central and pre-covid-19 projection scenarios detailed in the 2020 Population Statement. Includes population level and components of population growth.
  • Last updated: 4 December 2020

Capital city and balance of state (GCCSA) population and components, 2019-20 to 2030-31 XLSX 207 kB