A projection of Australia’s future fertility rates

Estimates of Australia’s future population depend on assumptions about the future fertility rate. In this paper for the Centre for Population, Professor Peter McDonald analyses Australia’s past fertility trends and develops projections of Australia’s future fertility rates under a number of scenarios.

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A projection of Australia's future fertility rates — September 2020 PDF 613 kB

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Fertility rates projections

Professor McDonald’s projections of future fertility rates for Australia and by state/territory for three scenarios

fertility_rates_projected_2018-19to2031-32.xlsx XLSX 278 kB

Historical fertility rates

Centre for Population estimates of historical fertility rates by single year of age, for Australia and by state/territory, by financial year, measured by occurrence

fertility_rates_historical_1981-82to2017-18.xlsx XLSX 263 kB