Research

The Centre’s published research papers providing insights into Australia’s changing population.

Profile of Australia’s population

This topic summary was authored by the Centre for Population for the Australian Institute of Health and Welfare and is an Australia’s health and Australia’s welfare topic. It provides an overview of Australia’s population growth and trends.

Research

Australia’s future fertility: A quick guide to potential impacts on future population

This quick guide compares three fertility scenarios which illustrate the long-term impacts of different fertility rates on Australia's population size and age structure.

PDF 720 kB

Research

Pathways from temporary visas to permanent residency: a case study of migrants that arrived in 2006-07

This quick guide provides a case study, using the 2006-07 cohort of migrants, to analyse the different pathways that temporary migrants take through Australia’s migration system to become permanent residents.

PDF 1.30 MB

Research

OECD: Working Paper on Regional Productivity, Local Labour Markets and Migration in Australia

This is the first working paper from the Centre for Population & OECD’s Migration and Regional Development Project. It describes the characteristics and geographic distribution of migrants in Australia and offers an overview of recent trends in Australia’s regional employment and productivity. It also provides insights on the relationship between migration, employment, and productivity in Australia, as well as in other OECD member countries.

Research

W.D. Borrie Lecture: Health Inequalities in the COVID Pandemic: Evidence from Australia

The W.D. Borrie Lecture was delivered at the Australian Population Association Conference on 23 November 2022 by the Hon Dr Andrew Leigh MP, Assistant Minister for Competition, Charities and Treasury. The speech analyses COVID mortality in Australia and how the health burden of the pandemic has impacted the most disadvantaged people in the Australian community.

2021–22 Budget: Australia's Future Population

Research

2022-23 Budget: Australia’s Future Population

This release draws out the population analysis and assumptions from the 2022‑23 Budget and explores how recent events related to the COVID‑19 pandemic have impacted the growth of our population.

PDF 707 kB

Image depicts and mother and father holding their baby

Research

Impact of policies on fertility rates

The Centre for Population has commissioned a report from the Australian National University that seeks to explain trends and drivers of fertility in Australia and better understand the impact of government policies on fertility decisions.

PDF 4.57 MB

Research

Presentation: Internal migration and ageing in regional Australia

This presentation was given by the Centre for Population’s Executive Director, Damien White, at the Australian Housing and Urban Research Institute’s National Housing Conference on 2 March 2022. It presents data and forecasts of net internal migration patterns to regional Australia. It also presents modelling of internal migration by age, which helps to understand how internal migration shapes the age profile of regional areas.

PPTX 5.10 MB

Research

The lifetime fiscal impact of the Australian permanent migration program

This paper discusses the main findings of the Fiscal Impact of New Australians (FIONA) model, which has been developed by the Treasury to estimate the fiscal impact of permanent migrants over their remaining lifetimes in Australia.

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Research

Sub-group mortality: A microdata approach to resident sub-group life tables

This series of papers analyse mortality rates within three sub-groups of the Australian population using de-identified microdata.

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Low overseas migration: A quick guide to the potential impacts on local populations

This quick guide begins to explore the uneven impacts of low overseas migration levels on population growth across Australia’s capital cities and regions.

PDF 867 kB

Research

2021–22 Budget: Australia's Future Population

This release draws out the population analysis and assumptions from the 2021–⁠22 Budget and explores how recent events have impacted the growth of our population.

PDF 566 kB

Research

Migration between cities and regions: A quick guide to COVID-19 impacts

This quick guide explores the impacts of COVID-19 on movements between cities and regions, and outlines factors that may influence future patterns of internal migration.

PDF 730 kB

Research

Why do people move? A quick guide to understanding internal migration in Australia

This release highlights the current trends in internal migration, social and economic motivations for moving, as well as the characteristics of people who move.

PDF 611 kB

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Anticipating the impact of COVID‑19 on internal migration

This paper analyses past trends in internal migration, and proposes assumptions for how COVID-19 could impact future internal migration in Australia.

PDF 2.82 MB

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A projection of Australia’s future fertility rates

This paper analyses Australia’s past fertility trends and develops projections of Australia’s future fertility rates under a number of scenarios.

PDF 613 kB

Recent Impacts on Australia's Population: A Quick Guide

Research

2020-21 Budget: Australia’s Future Population

This release draws out the population analysis and assumptions from the 2020–⁠21 Budget and explores how recent events have impacted the growth of our population.

PDF 1.06 MB